QQQ Is Getting Overpriced, But It's Still A Hold (Upgrade)

Jan. 10, 2024 6:35 PM ETInvesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ)QQQ8 Comments
A.J. Button
12.27K Followers

Summary

  • The Invesco QQQ Trust has performed well, but buying it at extreme highs has resulted in severe, prolonged negative returns.
  • Buying the NASDAQ-100 at its highest point in 1999 resulted in a 15-year breakeven period--as bad as the Dow in 1929.
  • The NASDAQ-100 index is currently priced at high valuation multiples, indicating that it may be overvalued.
  • At the same time, the fund's highly innovative and dynamic constituents often beat earnings, due to technological factors not well captured in DCF models.
  • For this reason I consider the fund a hold, even though conventional financial analysis techniques point to it being a sell.

NASDAQ MarketSite - Times Square

The QQQ is based on the NASDAQ 100 index.

hapabapa

The Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) has performed extremely well over most timeframes that investors tend to look at. Using Seeking Alpha's convenient charting feature, we can

This article was written by

12.27K Followers
Financial journalist. Passed CFA Level 1. Seeking value and dividend growth opportunities, and sharing what I find on Seeking Alpha.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AAPL, GOOG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About QQQ ETF

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Expense Ratio
Div Frequency
Div Rate
Yield
Assets (AUM)
Compare to Peers

More on QQQ

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
QQQ
--