A Trillion-Dollar Question: What's The ROR On Gen AI Capex?

Jul. 30, 2024 1:47 PM ETS&P 500 Index (SP500)SP5009 Comments
Damir Tokic
11.07K Followers
(8min)

Summary

  • The investment community is starting to question the profitability of Gen AI capex spending.
  • The Gen AI related companies' executives have not addressed the issue of Gen AI capex ROR yet.
  • Thus, I believe the Gen AI bubble is likely to burst, and with it cause a significant drawdown in the S&P 500.

White color alphabet with word CAPEX (Abbreviation of Capital Expenditure) on black pegboard background

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The trillion-dollar question

Goldman Sachs (GS) released the report on June 25th titled: Gen AI - Too much spend, too little benefit. The abstract of the report starts with:

Tech giants and beyond are set

This article was written by

11.07K Followers
Commodity Trading Adviser (CTA), member of National Futures Association. Professor of Finance, research on Global-macro issues. Editor-in-Chief, Journal of Corporate Accounting and Finance.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SPX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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