SES S.A.: Consolidation With Intelsat Creates Satellite Behemoth

Aug. 01, 2024 7:07 AM ETSES S.A. (SGBAF) StockSGBAF19 Comments
Kinix Research
387 Followers
(20min)

Summary

  • SES S.A. completed the C-Band spectrum monetization effort, acquired Intelsat for $3.1 billion, and rolled out the O3b mPower constellation.
  • The Intelsat acquisition makes SES S.A. the largest non-LEO satellite operator in the world and dominant in the mobility network industry.
  • Mid-band spectrum assets and potential monetization add significant value to the combined company.
  • A special dividend (5% yield) and buyback plan (6% yield) in 2024 add to the nominal 10% dividend yield on the pro-forma stock at less than 5x the EBITDA multiple.

Satellite antenna array under the Milky Way sky

bjdlzx/E+ via Getty Images

My previous article in January 2024 was an update reflecting on the operational milestones achieved by SES S.A., particularly completion of the C-Band spectrum monetization effort and roll-out of the medium-earth orbit (MEO) O3b mPower constellation. Like the sell-side

This article was written by

387 Followers
Background: 10+ years as research scientist in the defense, intelligence, and space industries. Followed investment teachings: Peter Lynch, Dr. Michael Burry, Li LuInvesting style: Long portfolio is usually concentrated investments - typically no more than 10 ideas. The top 6 tend to take up 50-60% of the portfolio. I look for: 1) Road-kill businesses in the midst of turnaround or cycle at amazing prices and 2) small-cap, under-covered growth businesses. Also hold a short portfolio in broken business models in the defense and space markets (2022 post space-SPAC frenzy was a great time for me) where I feel my industry insider knowledge gives me an edge. I like to describe my style as 50% Lynch, 50% Burry. U.S. based but with frequent exposure to companies abroad. I only write articles on ideas that I believe are actionable (i.e., typically no HOLD ratings), and strive to bring new, edifying material to ideas.Always do your own due diligence. Not a financial advisor.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SGBAF either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I hold the native ticker, SESG.PA, on the Paris EuroNext stock exchange.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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