Upbound: Decision Engine Equipped With Large Data Sets Implies Undervaluation

(16min)

Summary

  • Upbound Group, Inc. appears undervalued due to its expanding retail network, proprietary automated decision engine, and significant market opportunity among U.S. consumers lacking traditional credit access.
  • The company's flexible lease-purchase agreements, better-than-expected EPS, and revenue growth, along with a low forward earnings multiple, indicate strong future FCF growth potential.
  • Key business drivers include increased retail partner locations, robust automated customer selection processes, rising e-commerce revenue, and effective marketing strategies.
  • Despite risks related to data acquisition, regulatory changes, and competition, a conservative DCF model suggests a fair valuation close to $95 per share.

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Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPBD) recently noted that an expansion of its retail network and the company's proprietary automated decision engine serve as ideal business drivers. In my view, successful acquisition of data from third-parties to assess potential lease

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London Stock Market Research is a service offered by an ex-investment banker from the city of London. After around 11 years in the industry, I decided to drop out, and made dollars out of what I learned in business. I appreciate value investments, and I usually buy companies that trade at close to 10x earnings, and offer dividend yield. I mainly research small caps, and mid caps from the United States, Canada, South America, UK, France, and Germany.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Disclaimer: I do not offer financial advice. This is only my opinion about the price of stocks. Readers may want to hire an investment adviser. My articles may also include mistakes about future EPS forecasts, EBITDA forecasts, net sales forecasts, and other expectations. My valuation models may also include assumptions about the cost of capital, cost of equity, or future growth. These assumptions may be too optimistic, or too pessimistic.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of UPBD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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