Bullish Market Reactions To Trump's Victory Were Correct

Hugo Ferrer profile picture
Hugo Ferrer
258 Followers
(11min)

Summary

  • Markets had anticipated Trump's victory, leading to stock rallies, bond declines, and a stronger dollar due to expected higher deficits and inflation.
  • Stock markets are bullish on Trump, with small caps showing strong gains, driven by his pro-market stance, tax cuts, and deregulation promises.
  • Bonds suffered significant declines, reflecting concerns over increased deficits and inflation, making it hard for bonds to appreciate without economic cooling.
  • Gold's decline post-election is attributed to the dollar's appreciation, but its long-term uptrend remains intact due to geopolitical factors and central bank demand.

Trump Tower, Chicago, Illinois.

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The markets, which are ultimately a continuous mechanism for discounting expectations, had been pricing in Trump's victory for weeks, with (1) stock market rallies discounting a more favorable regulatory and fiscal environment for companies, (2) sovereign bond declines discounting a higher deficit (no one believes that Elon

This article was written by

Hugo Ferrer profile picture
258 Followers
Professional investor registered in Spain, Professor of the Stock Market Expert Degree at the University of Alicante (Spain) and columnist in several national media.

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