BioCryst: Hold Steady As Orladeyo Builds, But Competition Heats Up

Stephen Ayers
8.59K Followers

Summary

  • BioCryst Pharmaceuticals stock rose 9% since September, driven by strong Orladeyo sales and raised revenue guidance for 2025 to $535-$550 million.
  • Orladeyo's convenience over injectable therapies is solidifying its market presence, with pediatric expansion and exclusivity until 2035 boosting growth prospects.
  • Potential competition from Pharvaris' deucrictibant, but Orladeyo's market entrenchment and differentiation mitigate immediate threats.
  • Financially, BioCryst aims for positive EPS and cash flow by 2H 2025, despite ongoing legal challenges and reliance on Orladeyo's performance.

Big Pharma concept

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BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Overview

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX) stock is up 9% since my last evaluation in September. Back then, the company was still projecting $1 billion in peak annual revenue for its oral, prophylactic hereditary angioedema (

This article was written by

8.59K Followers
With a background as an RN and an MBA, Stephen analyzes healthcare and tech stocks by combining clinical insight with rigorous valuation methods. He specializes in scenario-based DCF modeling, sensitivity analysis, and Monte Carlo simulations to uncover asymmetric risk-reward. His focus is on translating complex science and market dynamics into actionable investment theses. His influences include Superforecasting and Fooled by Randomness.

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