2025 - The Rise Of Ouster And The Decline Of Luminar

Mar. 23, 2025 9:45 AM ETOuster, Inc. (OUST) StockLAZR, OUST36 Comments
Robert Dydo
1.69K Followers
(12min)

Summary

  • Ouster's multi-vertical approach and competitive pricing position it as a strong buy, with potential profitability by 2026, unlike Luminar's distressed financial state.
  • Ouster achieved record revenue and margins in 2024, with plans to double its TAM through hardware and software transitions.
  • Luminar's financial instability, negative equity, and high debt burden make it a strong sell, despite minor revenue growth projections for 2025.
  • I anticipate Ouster's valuation to rise significantly, targeting $27 per share, driven by product upgrades and potential legal victories against Hesai.

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Introduction

2024 has produced a competitive landscape that has the largest LiDAR company in the West, Ouster (NASDAQ:OUST), and the largest company by volume globally, Hesai (HSAI), as leaders. Western competitors, while taking the same financing steps as Ouster, do

This article was written by

1.69K Followers
In the past, I evaluated solar manufacturers and renewable yieldcos based on their operational, financial, and growth factors. Currently, I am interested in lidar companies' technology, adoption, and revenue growth..

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of OUST either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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