Oy Vey, My Worst Quarter In Years

Victor Dergunov
Investing Group Leader
(11min)

Summary

  • Q1 2025 was highly volatile, with the All-Weather Portfolio (AWP) declining by 8.5%, mainly due to high exposure to tech stocks, but remains well-positioned for future growth.
  • Despite short-term setbacks, I am optimistic about high-quality AI tech stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, Marvell, and AMD, which have remarkable potential.
  • Key improvements include better profit-taking strategies, increased cash reserves, and enhanced hedging techniques to navigate future downturns more effectively.
  • Looking forward, positive factors like tax cuts, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus could drive market sentiment and AWP performance higher in H2 2025.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Financial Prophet. Learn More »

Economic with stock exchange market showing stock chart down and in red negative territory. Business and financial money market crisis concept. Illustration.

TERADAT SANTIVIVUT

To say that Q1 was volatile would be an understatement. Of course, we've seen much more volatile times during major financial crises. However, the sharp spike in volatility and the rapid decline in many market leading stocks was more aggressive than

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All-Weather Portfolio vs. The S&P 500
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This article was written by

Victor Dergunov
51.5K Followers

Hi, I’m Victor Dergunov, MBA, and I’ve been an active investor for over 20 years. My passion for investing started early, and I’ve spent two decades honing strategies that consistently deliver results. Whether it's tech giants like Apple and Tesla or opportunities in commodities and crypto, I provide diversified insights to help you succeed. Join me, and let’s take your investing to the next level.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TSLA, SNAP,,NVDA, AMD, MRVL, AVGO, DELL, CRM, PLTR, META, GOOG, S either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I am long a diversified portfolio

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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