SPXS: Time To Trim Downside Hedges (Rating Downgrade)

Ivo Kolchev
1.12K Followers

Summary

  • The Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares ETF seeks to deliver 300% (3x) the inverse return of the S&P 500 index.
  • The ETF has surged in value as the S&P 500 retreats from extremely overvalued levels.
  • I outline reasons for reducing hedges such as the SPXS, as well as why they may still make sense in the current environment.
  • I ultimately believe the prevailing bearish sentiment, as well as higher earnings and dividend yield in the face of falling risk-free interest rates, warrants a Hold rating for SPXS.
  • Key SPXS risks to consider include disastrous long-term performance and beta slippage.

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Introduction

The Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares ETF (SPXS) has surged so far in 2025, delivering a total return of 51%. This comes as the S&P 500, tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF

This article was written by

1.12K Followers
I ventured into investing in high school in 2011, mainly in REITs, preferred stocks, and high-yield bonds, starting a fascination with markets and the economy that has not faded despite the years. More recently I have been combining long stock positions with covered calls and cash secured puts. I approach investing purely from a fundamental long-term point of view. On Seeking Alpha I mostly cover REITs and financials, with occasional articles on ETFs and other stocks driven by a macro trade idea.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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