Clover Health: Stars Are Aligning For GAAP Profitability In FY 2026

Ahmed Abdelazim
1.83K Followers
(15min)

Summary

  • Clover reported impressive Q1 earnings with robust topline growth and improving profitability metrics thanks to a 30% YoY increase in its member base.
  • Clover could see $95 million in additional revenues in FY 2026 without any member growth as a result of CMS increasing MA payouts by 5.1%.
  • With Clover set to be eligible for a 5% quality bonus in 2026 thanks to its 4-star rating, I expect it to reach GAAP profitability in FY 2026.
  • I’m upgrading Clover to a strong buy and raising my price target to $5.30, implying 51% upside from its current valuation.

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Last year, I started covering Clover Health Investments, Corp. (CLOV) after its decision to make its AI platform, Clover Assistant, available for third-party MA payors and providers as a SaaS offering named, Counterpart Assistant. Since my initial

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1.83K Followers
As a former managing editor at a financial media publication focused on mid and small caps, I am using my experience to present investment opportunities in undervalued companies. My experience, combined with my academic background in financial markets and institutions, allows me to bring thorough research and analysis of financial statements, market trends, as well as upcoming events that may impact specific companies or industries.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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