From Extreme Fear To Greed In No Time Indeed

(8min)

Summary

  • Market sentiment has swung from extreme fear to greed, with the S&P 500 surging by 25% since April, but optimism may now be overextended.
  • Higher-than-expected inflation and delayed Fed rate cuts are keeping consumer and business borrowing costs at multi-decade highs, straining the economy.
  • Banks are profiting from high rates, but future rate cuts and potential credit defaults could challenge their earnings and market stability.
  • I maintain a near-term neutral/hold rating on the S&P 500, but remain bullish long-term with a 6,500 year-end target despite possible turbulence.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Financial Prophet. Learn More »

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Happy Memorial Day, everyone! We recently discussed progress on China trade and other constructive factors which helped enable sentiment to turn ultra-bullish in the stock market. The S&P 500 (SP500) "SPX" surged by approximately 25% from its

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This article was written by

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Hi, I’m Victor Dergunov, MBA, and I’ve been an active investor for over 20 years. My passion for investing started early, and I’ve spent two decades honing strategies that consistently deliver results. Whether it's tech giants like Apple and Tesla or opportunities in commodities and crypto, I provide diversified insights to help you succeed. Join me, and let’s take your investing to the next level.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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