Apple: China Sales Collapse Is Only Getting Worse

Bohdan Kucheriavyi
9.49K Followers
(8min)

Summary

  • Apple Inc. faces worsening challenges in China, including declining sales, delayed AI features, and increased supply chain risk from potential US tariffs.
  • Despite Q2 revenue and EPS beats, Greater China sales fell, and Apple lost market share to domestic competitors, now ranking fifth in the region.
  • The services business remains a bright spot, with record revenues and expanding margins, helping to offset iPhone headwinds and macroeconomic risks.
  • Given these risks and Apple's current valuation near fair value, I rate AAPL stock as a Hold, expecting a limited upside in the near term.

Bangkok, Thailand - October 18, 2023: The latest of iPhone 15 Pro blue titanium features a triple-lens camera for professional-level mobile photography.

dontree_m/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Ever since I highlighted the latest China-related problems that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) faces back in December, the company’s stock has depreciated by ~20% and underperformed against the broader market. Since that time, Apple’s troubles in China

This article was written by

9.49K Followers
I'm a Ukraine-based seasoned investor, who firsthand experienced what’s it like to live in an environment full of systemic geopolitical shocks when the war came to my home country. Despite this, I managed to build an all-weather portfolio that has been able to thrive in volatile markets. My goal is to help investors find event-driven geopolitical ideas that can generate strong returns during periods of economic and political uncertainty.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Bohdan Kucheriavyi is not a financial/investment advisor, broker, or dealer. He's solely sharing personal experience and opinion; therefore, all strategies, tips, suggestions, and recommendations shared are solely for informational purposes. There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, options, exchange-traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involves the risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high-risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including greater volatility and political, economic, and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About AAPL Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on AAPL

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
AAPL
--
AAPL:CA
--