Nebius: I Can't Stop Buying This Stock | 40% Of My Portfolio Now

Deep Value Investing
6.63K Followers
(11min)

Summary

  • I bought the (short-lived) dip on June 2. In my view, the terms of the $1B private placement are highly favorable for the company.
  • The $1B convertible notes are trading at a 40% premium. This is unusual, as most companies offer a discount on their convertible notes to incentivize the purchase of these securities.
  • Institutional interest remains robust, with more funds holding Nebius than in Q4 and a significant increase in calls owned by institutions. That said, 13F shares declined by 20%.
  • Arkady reaffirmed full-year revenue and ARR guidance and raised CapEx by $500 million. I see it as a strong signal that demand for data center infrastructure remains high.
  • I reiterate my strong buy rating, but caution that operational and geopolitical risks require diversification. Don't follow my bets.

Bounced arrow in shopping cart, buy the dip or trading strategy to purchase stock when price is down, 3D illustration.

Yossakorn Kaewwannarat

It's about time to revisit my bull case on Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS). I was on holiday (fully disconnected from the world) when the company released Q1 earnings results. When I came back and tuned in with the company, I

This article was written by

6.63K Followers
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well, you can land a Jumbo on the spread and still have clearance for take-off. From time to time, I buy shares, mostly to not be categorized as a degen by my fellow investor friends, therefore the 50%-50% allocation. My timeframe tends to be between 3-24 months.I like stocks that have experienced a recent sell-off due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at the new lower price. This is how I often screen through thousands of stocks, mainly in the US, although I may own shares in banana republics. I use fundamental analysis to check the health of companies that pass through my screening process, their leverage, and then compare their financial ratios with the sector, and industry median and average. I also do professional background checks of each insider who purchased shares after the recent sell-off. I use technical analysis to optimize the entry and exit points of my positions. I mainly use multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts. From time to time I draw trend lines, taken for granted, in multicolor patterns. Note: I tried to keep my introduction as real, and authentic as possible. I dislike empty suits, high-level BS, deep-level BS, unnecessary jargon, and self-indulgent, third-person written introductions with an air of superiority.Thanks for reading my introduction!

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NBIS either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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