Nvidia: I Predicted $150 By Year End - I Was Dead Wrong

Deep Value Investing
6.45K Followers
(11min)

Summary

  • Nvidia Corporation's momentum is stronger than what I initially anticipated.
  • I reaffirm my Strong Buy rating after spectacular growth results, even with the tariff drama, the DeepSeek fears, and the new export restrictions.
  • Despite an $8B headwind, Nvidia guides for 50% YoY revenue growth next quarter, with potential upside from an upcoming export-compliant AI chip, the B30.
  • The Street’s expectations are sky-high. Nvidia has been beating forecasts by smaller margins lately. If they fall short on revenue, it could lead to an NVDA stock selloff.

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In my previous coverage of Nvidia Corporation (NVDA), I predicted the stock would test the $150 price level by year-end.

I was dead wrong.

At this pace, I believe the stock will reach my

This article was written by

6.45K Followers
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well, you can land a Jumbo on the spread and still have clearance for take-off. From time to time, I buy shares, mostly to not be categorized as a degen by my fellow investor friends, therefore the 50%-50% allocation. My timeframe tends to be between 3-24 months.I like stocks that have experienced a recent sell-off due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at the new lower price. This is how I often screen through thousands of stocks, mainly in the US, although I may own shares in banana republics. I use fundamental analysis to check the health of companies that pass through my screening process, their leverage, and then compare their financial ratios with the sector, and industry median and average. I also do professional background checks of each insider who purchased shares after the recent sell-off. I use technical analysis to optimize the entry and exit points of my positions. I mainly use multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts. From time to time I draw trend lines, taken for granted, in multicolor patterns. Note: I tried to keep my introduction as real, and authentic as possible. I dislike empty suits, high-level BS, deep-level BS, unnecessary jargon, and self-indulgent, third-person written introductions with an air of superiority.Thanks for reading my introduction!

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SOXL either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I have a beneficial position in SOXL, which is an ETP that has a high exposure to NVDA.

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