Super Micro Computer: The Market Is Wrong

Dair Sansyzbayev
8.94K Followers
(9min)

Summary

  • The market values the stock unfairly because DCF calculations suggest that unrealistically pessimistic assumptions are currently priced in.
  • Financial health is robust with a strong cash position, positive free cash flow, and flexibility to pursue growth projects, even after heavy investment cycles.
  • AI tailwinds are accelerating, and SMCI is well-positioned to capitalize through aggressive R&D, capacity investments, and strategic partnerships, especially with Nvidia.

Supermicro headquarters in San Jose, California, USA

JHVEPhoto

Investment thesis

My previous bullish Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) thesis aged quite well, as the stock is currently 17% more expensive than it was on March 11. The broader market rallied by around 7.5% over the

This article was written by

8.94K Followers
I am a highly experienced Chief Financial Officer (CFO) with a strong background in the oilfield and real estate industries. With over a decade of experience in finance, I have led numerous complex due diligence efforts and M&A transactions, both domestically and internationally.In recent years, I have developed a keen interest in equity research and analysis of public companies. This interest has led me to render equity research services for a Dubai-based family office with over $20 million in assets under management (AUM). My expertise in finance allows me to provide valuable insights and recommendations to clients seeking to make informed investment decisions.I pride myself on my ability to analyze financial statements, evaluate market trends, and identify key drivers of growth in different industries. I am passionate about staying up-to-date on the latest developments and trends in the equity research industry, and I am always seeking to enhance my skills and knowledge through continuing education and professional development.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SMCI either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About SMCI Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on SMCI

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
SMCI
--
SMCI:CA
--