U.S. Dollar Is All Brakes, No Gas

Summary

  • Year-to-date, the dollar has been sliding terribly, especially against other developed market currencies, as "smart money" flees the dollar.
  • I've taken tactical positions over the course of this year and last in foreign currencies, and gold. I've also taken a bet against the USD.
  • The government is currently at a crossroads as one end of proclaims to be dealing with the ever-growing debt, while the other end grows the deficit.
  • This effect leads to lower confidence in the dollar, and is a reason why positive reports like a CPI beat caused the dollar to slide.
  • It's unclear how low the dollar can go, but it has a lot of room to keep going, potentially another 10% or more against a basket of foreign currencies.
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Dmytro Lastovych

Introduction

I've been making facetious comments about the US Dollar's YTD performance across several of my last few macroeconomic articles, especially as we've watched "smart money" (institutions) move to risk-off assets, but avoid the dollar this

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