HF Sinclair: Better Ways To Play A Refining Upcycle

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4.66K Followers

Summary

  • HF Sinclair's shares have rebounded with improving crack spreads, but still lag sector leaders due to weaker scale and balance sheet.
  • Refining margins are recovering, and DINO is well-positioned geographically to benefit from discounted crude and resilient gasoline demand.
  • Despite a solid 12% free cash flow yield and secure 4.6% dividend, peers like MPC and VLO offer better capital return and scale advantages.
  • I maintain a 'hold' rating: DINO is fundamentally sound, but there are more attractive opportunities in the refining sector.

Sinclair Gas Station

HABesen/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Shares of HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) have been a poor performer over the past year, losing about 18% of their value as strong global refining utilization has weighed on crack spreads. However, shares have bounced more than 50% from

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