Meta: More Than One-Third Of Revenue To Be Spent On AI In FY2025

Johnny Zhang, CFA
2.05K Followers

Summary

  • META's stock is nearly up 50% since April low and could hit new highs soon, as markets expect ad spending to hold up despite potential economic slowdown in 2H 2025.
  • AI remains the key growth driver, supported by Llama 4 releases, strategic AI acquisitions, and in-house AI team expansion.
  • Advertising growth is still resilient on a constant currency basis, with AI monetization and new channels like WhatsApp and Threads driving revenue growth.
  • Capex as a percentage of total revenue is expected to rise to 36% in FY2025, up from 23% in FY2024, showing AI spendings will accelerate in the coming quarters.
  • The stock trades at 28x forward P/E, below the Nasdaq index, and the recent rally hasn't significantly stretched its valuation (meaningful progress in AI could justify a higher valuation).

Mobile display with logo of Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram apps in hand against blurred META logotype on white monitor

Kira-Yan

The Stock Nearing All-Time High

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META)'s stock is once again approaching its all-time high, following a relentless, broad-based market rebound since early April. I believe META, as one of the Magnificent 7 with a long-term AI growth roadmap, can

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I'm specialized in fundamental equity research, global macro strategy, and top-down portfolio construction. I graduated from UCLA with a degree of Business Economics and UMich Ross School of Business with a Master of Accounting. I'm a senior analyst at a multi-strategy hedge fund. In my opinion, HODL can't generate significant alpha or maintain a high Sharpe ratio over the long run. Seeking Alpha requires active management and minimizing opportunity costs. Investors should understand seeking a high positive return doesn't necessarily mean you are generating high alpha.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of META:CA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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