Super Micro Computer Stock Is Getting Interesting (Technical Analysis, Upgrade)

Summary

  • Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s technicals are improving, with momentum building and a potential breakout from a triangle pattern that could spark a 50% rally.
  • Short-term trading opportunity exists for the next 3-6 months, but I remain cautious on SMCI as a long-term investment due to fundamental concerns.
  • Key risks include margin pressure, heavy competition, reliance on a few clients, and volatility around upcoming earnings.
  • While the SMCI setup is bullish for a trade, I'd prefer holding Nvidia or AMD for the long term, as SMCI remains heavily shorted and vulnerable.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Pragmatic Investor. Learn More »

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Thesis Summary

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) is beginning to pick up steam, and though I don’t particularly like the fundamentals, the technicals are looking better.

From a technical perspective, momentum is picking up, we're breaking out from a

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This article was written by

24.6K Followers

James Foord is an economist by trade and has been analyzing global markets for the past decade. He leads the investing group The Pragmatic Investor where the focus is on building robust and truly diversified portfolios that will continually preserve and increase wealth.

The Pragmatic Investor covers global macro, international equities, commodities, tech and cryptocurrencies and is designed to guide investors of all levels in their journey. Features include a The Pragmatic Investor Portfolio, weekly market update newsletter, actionable trades, technical analysis, and a chat room. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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