Tesla's 177x P/E - A Fundamental Warning Sign

Julian Fuchs
142 Followers

Summary

  • Tesla's valuation is excessively high at 177x FWD P/E, relying on future tech dreams rather than current fundamentals.
  • Current earnings and margins are deteriorating, with automotive dependence and shrinking sales, especially in Europe, due to political factors.
  • Promises around Full Self-Driving and robotics remain unfulfilled, with little evidence of imminent breakthroughs or market leadership.
  • Given these risks and lack of fundamental improvement, I remain bearish on TSLA stock from current levels.

Tesla electric car retail store and company brand logo sign

Introduction

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is a favorite among Seeking Alpha readers, which has awed investors with its vision far ahead of the traditional car manufacturers. Tesla's ~177x (FWD) P/E valuation is against the auto industry's 6-7x. Whereas Ford and

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142 Followers
As a 21-year-old student passionate about stock analysis, I provide in-depth equity research and market insights. With a solid grasp of financial trends, I aim to offer actionable investment ideas and identify growth and value opportunities. Follow me for insightful analyses to navigate the world of investing.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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