Fastly - Hand Over Fist

Jun. 26, 2020 12:19 PM ETFastly, Inc. (FSLY)AKAM, EGIOQ, NET2 Comments
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Summary

  • FSLY has become the darling of "stay at home " stocks.
  • The Company has achieved a monster valuation of $9BN or roughly 25x annual revenues with minimal EBITDA.
  • There is little differentiation between content deliver networks (CDNs) and edge compute providers AKAM FSLY LLNW NET and others.
  • Based on LLNW's current valuation of 3.5x sales, with similar scope and scale to FSLY, we see an anomaly.
  • Based on retail/CNBC stay at home hype, the stock is wildly overvalued.  We initiative coverage of FSLY with a SELL recommendation.  Our price target is $35, a still rich 10x sales multiple.

FSLY Cap Table @ $83.62

FSLY_cap_table.pdf

FSLY Cap Table @ 10x Sales

FSLY_cap_table_10x.pdf

Further analysis forthcoming...

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are short FSLY.

We intend to provide additional commentary in our ongoing coverage of FSLY.

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