U.S. Grain Movement By Railroad

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Eric Sprague
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Summary

  • 2015 U.S. grain carloads were 3.4% higher than those in 2014.
  • Railroads are key in terms of moving grain to Asia through the Pacific Northwest.
  • Corn markets not located near barge transport depend on rail for long hauls.

Introduction

Along with trucks and barges, railroads play a key part in moving U.S. grains.

AAR shows that corn, soybeans, and wheat accounted for 577.9 million of the 606.5 million tons of grains produced in the U.S. in 2014. This article focuses on these 3 grains and leaves out others like barley, oats, rice, rye, and sorghum.

Before starting in on the rail segment, we take a look at the big picture involving production, exports, and the comparison of the 3 major types of movement (truck, rail, and barge).

We focus on the 4 biggest U.S. rails which are Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP), Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BRK.A) (BRK.B), CSX (NASDAQ:CSX), and Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC).

PNW is used for the Pacific Northwest.

Production Overview

Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota, and Indiana were the top 5 producers for both corn and soybeans in 2014 although their order wasn't identical.

The U.S. produced a little over 14.2 billion bushels of corn in 2014. Iowa and Illinois led the country with over 2.3 billion bushels each. Next came Nebraska (1.6 billion), Minnesota (1.2 billion), and Indiana (1 billion).

Just over 4 billion bushels of soybeans for beans were produced in the U.S. in 2014. Illinois and Iowa were also the top soybeans for beans states in 2014 with 548 million and 506 million bushels each. They were followed by Indiana (307 million), Minnesota (305 million), and Nebraska (289 million).

Over 2 billion bushels of wheat were produced in the U.S. in 2014. North Dakota led the country in 2014 wheat production with 347 million bushels and was followed by Kansas (246 million), Montana (209 million), South Dakota (131 million), and Washington (108 million).

The above production numbers come from the USDA NASS 2014 Crop Production Summary with corn on page 9, soybeans on page 45, and wheat

This article was written by

Eric Sprague profile picture
5.13K Followers
I'm an individual investor heavily influenced by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. Munger's 1994 USC Business School Speech is something I think about a lot: ### Over the long term, it's hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns 6% on capital over 40 years and you hold it for that 40 years, you're not going to make much different than a 6% return—even if you originally buy it at a huge discount. Conversely, if a business earns 18% on capital over 20 or 30 years, even if you pay an expensive looking price, you'll end up with a fine result. ... Another very simple effect I very seldom see discussed either by investment managers or anybody else is the effect of taxes. If you're going to buy something which compounds for 30 years at 15% per annum and you pay one 35% tax at the very end, the way that works out is that after taxes, you keep 13.3% per annum. In contrast, if you bought the same investment, but had to pay taxes every year of 35% out of the 15% that you earned, then your return would be 15% minus 35% of 15%—or only 9.75% per year compounded. So the difference there is over 3.5%. And what 3.5% does to the numbers over long holding periods like 30 years is truly eye-opening. If you sit back for long, long stretches in great companies, you can get a huge edge from nothing but the way that income taxes work. ### Feel free to follow me on twitter: https://twitter.com/ftreric

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long BRK.A, BRK.B, UNP. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Any material in this article should not be relied on as a formal investment recommendation.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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