Priceline: Great Business, Great Growth, Great Price

Integrator
16.12K Followers

Summary

  • Priceline is a superior, high-quality business capable of delivering long-term outperformance.
  • The company's share price has been punished through 2016 in spite of superior growth.
  • For investors who can stomach near-term volatility, Priceline likely offers the promise of strong long-term returns.

Priceline (PCLN) presents an interesting opportunity for the long term investor. The business has been achieving strong rates of growth for an extended period of time, and delivering excellent margins and returns on invested capital, yet all shareholders have seen in recent months has been a shareprice that's been in freefall. Priceline has declined almost 17% since the beginning of the year. The business now trades at share price levels which investors saw in mid 2013. Yet Priceline is a much better business than in 2013, with revenues and operating profits that are 30% higher .

Brand perception and inventory depth drives moat

I like dominant businesses with natural barriers to entry that help ensure long-term profitability. Priceline has the characteristics of a wide moat business. The company benefits from the broadest range of listed properties available for booking, and is a name and destination that is synonymous with travel booking. That makes it top of mind for consumers looking to book travel.

Profitable high margin business with strong cash flow

The thing I love about Priceline is that the business moat keeps progressively expanding. Priceline has always been a high margin business. However these margins have been progressively expanding over the last few years. Incredibly, gross margins have doubled in less than a decade and now stand at 90%. Operating margins have also shown a similar level of expansion and stand at close to 35% today. The combination of margin expansion , plus a rapidly increasing topline have resulted in a business that has grown EPS more 10x in the last decade. Priceline is not just a business with a high level of profitability. The company also manages to produce significant levels of cash. Priceline manages to convert between 25-30% of revenue into free cash flow.

Priceline's dominant economics

This article was written by

16.12K Followers
I am an investor who is focused on disruptive businesses that are transforming industries lead by visionary leaders with substantial skin in the game. I have spent nearly 20 years in a formal capacity in various investment banking and corporate advisory roles, having attained my MBA with a concentration in finance. This led me toward a path in Venture Capital and working with entrepreneurs building new technology businesses, and I have had the opportunity to not only invest in a number of amazing privately held businesses, but also play a meaningful role in growing several of these early stage enterprises as well. I am now focused on applying my lens of private market disruption and leveraging secular tail winds to the public markets.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long PCLN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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