The Permian Basin: The Lower Spraberry May Yield Three Benches

Richard Zeits
10.4K Followers

Summary

  • QEP Resources discussed its geo-physical model for the Lower Spraberry Shale formation in the Midland Basin.
  • Frac barriers within the formation may yield several independent producing benches (a potentially massive drilling inventory increase).
  • The most intriguing upside appears to be from the optimized lateral placement as the frac barrier location is better understood.
  • QEP’s early-time Lower Spraberry well results are some of the industry’s strongest.

Important note: This article is not an investment recommendation and should not to be relied upon when making investment decisions - investors should conduct their own comprehensive research. Please read the disclaimer at the end of this article.

While it may appear that U.S. E&P operators have left no rock unturned in their search for new productive shale plays, elephant-size finds are still being made. The Lower Spraberry Shale in the Midland Basin is one of the industry's most spectacular recent discoveries. Several operators have convincingly demonstrated that the formation can yield prolific wells with high oil content at relatively low completed well costs. While the industry still has a lot of work to do before the play is delineated and the sweet spot distribution is fully understood, it is clear that the formation may compete in drilling economics with other primary targets in the Midland Basin stack, such as the Wolfcamp B and Wolfcamp A, and substantially expands the inventory of top-tier drilling locations.

The current earnings season may yield more positive news for investors in the stocks exposed to the Lower Spraberry Core. The play may prove to be much bigger and more prolific than has been anticipated. Similar to the Three Forks formation in the Williston Basin, the Lower Spraberry Shale may prove to effectively be a multi-reservoir play with as many as three "benches" that can be stimulated and produced independently.

If this geo-physical model of the formation is confirmed, there may be two major implications for the play.

  • First, well productivity is highly sensitive to the lateral placement relative to the frac barriers. Potential for performance improvement may exist due to lateral landing optimization.
  • Second, the formation may yield many more highly economic drilling locations, at least in certain areas.

QEP's Lower Spraberry Results - Spectacular

This article was written by

10.4K Followers
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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