Ensco: Shareholders May Be Nicely Rewarded

Summary

  • Ensco has had a difficult time since the start of the oil crash watching its equity collapse by more than 80%.
  • The company has $1.3 billion in cash / short-term investments that could allow the company to pay its expenses.
  • While I disagree with the company's equity dilution, I see it as a one time thing and expect present share holders will be rewarded nicely.

Introduction

Ensco (NYSE: ESV) is an offshore drilling company headquartered in the United Kingdom, though its countries of operation vary widely as its rigs move around. The company operates as the world's second largest offshore drilling and well company with a fleet of drilling rigs used in offshore oil exploration.

Ensco Drilling Rig - Wall Street Journal

However, despite its market leader position in the offshore drilling industry, Ensco has had a difficult time recently along with all other offshore drillers. The company has watched its stock price crash from almost $60 per share before the 2014 oil crash to lows of less than $8 per share in February of this year. Since then, the company's stock price has recovered but the company's stock still remains at just over $10 per share.

Current Market Conditions

Ensco's recent difficulties have stemmed from the fact that capex is cut much faster than oil prices. That is, for a company like ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) that produces millions of barrels of oil per day, unless prices go to $0 per barrel, the company will continue bringing in revenue. However, Ensco instead relies on drilling contracts, and in an environment of low oil prices as companies cut capex, Ensco will struggle to bring in any respectable revenue.

Total Capex of Majors & Large IOCs - Ensco Investor Presentation

The following overview of current market conditions shows how fast the capex of oil majors and large integrated oil companies has been decreasing. Since a peak in 2013 when oil prices maxed out, capex has dropped from $292 billion to $149 billion in 2016, a drop of almost 50%. More importantly, the recent doubling of oil prices from less than $30 per barrel in January to roughly $50 presently will likely not have a significant impact on capex. This significant drop in capex has made contracting rigs

This article was written by

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The Value Portfolio specializes in building retirement portfolios and utilizes a fact-based research strategy to identify investments. This includes extensive readings of 10Ks, analyst commentary, market reports, and investor presentations. He invests real money in the stocks he recommends.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long ESV, XOM. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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