Re-Examining Twitter

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DM Martins Research
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Summary

  • Should the tech “losers” of last week be given a second chance?
  • Technology companies up yet another week: adding $148 billion in total value.
  • Re-examining Twitter: is it a buy on weakness?

Welcome to the tech sector's sixteenth edition of "Buy on Weakness?", a series of articles that sifts through the underperformers of the week to find potential investment opportunities in the large-cap tech world.

The table below highlights the top 20 tech companies - worth $10 billion or more in total equity value - that have performed the poorest in the previous five trading days.

Source: DM Martins Research, using market data compiled from Zacks

With another big week of earning announcements in the books, the tech sector continues to climb north with a 2.1% return on the week.

This week, our focus will be on Twitter (TWTR) as it continues to slip with a 9.5% loss on the week. We will re-examine our previous thesis to see if Twitter is now worth buying into.

Diving deeper into the data

The top 20 tech losers of the week have a median 2017 forward P/E of 15.5x, compared to the S&P 500's median trailing P/E of 14.6x and the overall tech sector's 26.3x. This week's top 20 group is expected to grow EPS in 2017 by 13.9%, and the companies generate median dividend yield of 1.1% (11 of the 20 companies are dividend-payers).

The table below highlights, in green font, the three best-positioned tech companies in each of the following categories: projected EPS growth, dividend yield, forward P/E and forward PEG (P/E divided by percentage-point EPS growth).

Re-examining Twitter:

With the Street reacting negatively to the Q2 2016 earnings release, we will take another look at our prior analysis on Twitter.

· Is Twitter continuing to improve its cost management and is there room to cut costs even further?

· Do we see the ARPU making a turnaround Twitter's new initiative in the Live-streaming space?

· Could Twitter be a potential buyout candidate

This article was written by

DM Martins Research profile picture
20.68K Followers
Daniel Martins is the founder of independent research firm DM Martins Research. The firm's work is centered around building more efficient, easily replicable portfolios that are properly risk-balanced for growth with less downside risk. His work has been featured on Seeking Alpha and other platforms through 2,000+ articles, and it has been cited by the New York Times, CNN, Reuters, USA Today, and others.- - -Daniel is the founder and portfolio manager at DM Martins Capital Management LLC, a macro strategy hedge fund (leveraged risk-parity approach that uses return stacking to achieve aggressive long-term capital appreciation). He is a former equity research professional at FBR Capital Markets and Telsey Advisory in New York City and finance analyst at macro hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, where he developed most of his investment management skills earlier in his career. Daniel is also an equity research and global equities market instructor for Wall Street Prep, where he has developed content and trained hundreds of senior and junior analysts at some of the largest bulge bracket investment banks and sovereign investment funds in the world.He holds an MBA in Financial Instruments and Markets from New York University's Stern School of Business.- - -On Seeking Alpha, DM Martins Research has partnered with EPB Macro Research and collaborated with Risk Research, Inc.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Business relationship disclosure: This research report was written by a contributing author and edited by Daniel Martins. It provides a contrarian view to what D.M. Martins Research had previously published on TWTR, in June 2016.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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