Top 'Safer' Dividend Financial Services Dog Is MVC Capital By Broker Boost For June

Jun. 29, 2017 6:49 PM ETAAIC, MFIC, APO, BLX, LRFC, OCSI, GHL, PFX, MHLD, MVC, NAUBF, PNNT, SCM, OXSQ5 Comments

Summary

  • Top 10 "safer" dividend Financial Services dogs, by net gain were topped by MVC. The ten averaged 25.43% net.
  • 34 of 78 top yield Financial Services stocks showed positive annual-returns, and free cash-flow yields greater than dividend yields 6/26/17. Those 34 were deemed "safer" for paying their dividends.
  • Top 10 "safer" dividend Financial Services yields ranged 9.39%-14.67% from AINV; NAUBF; PNNT; SCM; MCC; ENDTF; FSFR; CPTA; TICC; AI. Their free cash flow yields ranged 16.82%-63.23%.
  • Besides safety margin, "safer" dividend Financial Services dogs reported payout ratios (lower is better), total annual returns, and dividend growth, as of 6/26/17 to further gauge their dividend backup.
  • Broker one year targets revealed that $5k invested in the lowest priced five of ten top "safer" Financial Services  stocks projected 9.74% LESS net gain than gains from $5K invested in all ten.

Actionable Conclusions (1-10): Analysts Assert Top Ten "Safer" Financial Services Dogs Could Net 12.3% to 60.8% Gains By June, 2018

Five of the ten top "safer" Financial Services dogs (tinted gray in the chart above) were verified as being among the Top ten by yield for the coming year as well as for gains based on analyst 1 year target prices. Thus the dog strategy for this group as graded by analyst estimates in June proved 50% accurate.

The ten probable profit generating trades illustrated by YCharts analytics for 2018 were:

MVC Capital (MVC) netted $608.43 per price estimates from just one analyst, plus dividends less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 35% less than the market as a whole.

Maiden Holdings (MHLD) netted $411.11 based on median targets from four analysts, plus dividends less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 21% more than the market as a whole.

Capitala Finance (CPTA) netted $281.30 based only on a median target price estimate from ten analysts, plus projected annual dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 31% less than the market as a whole.

Apollo Global Management (APO) netted $248.01 based on median target price estimates from fifteen analysts, plus dividends alone less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 22% more than the market as a whole.

Fifth Street Senior (FSFR) netted $219.63 based on mean target price estimates from two analysts plus dividends less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 67% less than the market as a whole.

Pennant Park Investment (PNNT) netted $195.26 based on mean target price estimates from ten analysts, plus dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility

This article was written by

Fredrik Arnold profile picture
30.85K Followers

Fredrik Arnold is a retired quality service analyst sharing investment ideas with a primary focus on dividend yields by utilizing free cash flow and one-year total returns as trading indicators.

He is the leader of the investing group The Dividend Dog Catcher, where he shares a minimum of one new dividend stock idea per week with focus on yield or extraordinary financial circumstances. All ideas are archived and available after weekly announcement. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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MFIC--
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APO--
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BLX--
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LRFC--
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