With General Electric's Stock Price So Low, It Is Now Trading Around Its Fair Value

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Accelerating Dividends
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Summary

  • General Electric recently announced its second dividend cut within 10 years causing the stock price to reach 52-week lows. Is it the right time to consider the stock?
  • I explore what analysts are estimating for the next few years as well as how the market is currently pricing the stock.
  • Using several valuation models, I find that General Electric’s stock price is fairly valued and provide my average fair value estimate of $17.09.

General Electric (<span class='ticker-hover-wrapper'>NYSE:<a href='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/GE' title='General Electric Company'>GE</a></span>), fair value, price, buy price, buy zone, dividend, lows

It has not been pretty for General Electric (GE) shareholders. What should have been reason to rejoice according to many on June 12th when it was announced that CEO Jeff Immelt was stepping down and was being replaced by John Flannery, GE's stock price rose quickly but has since lost 37.95% since that date. Management then presented its plan to make the company profitable again but at the same time announced the dividend was being reduced by 50%. Shares have lost 10.56% since that announcement. The company is focused on cash flow generation among all its segments. If that is the case, then the company future prospects should look brighter. With shares at depressed levels and trading near 52-week, are they trading at fair value? Time to take a look.

Where are we at?

First, let's take a look at some of the current valuation metrics. GE current price to earnings ratio is 22.3. YCharts reports that the 5-year average is 24.1 while Gurufocus.com shows that GE's 10-year median PE ratio is 17.5. The industry median is 23.1x while the market is 21.7x. These indicators provide a mixed bag of overvalued and undervalued possibilities. Based on the PE, it is not entirely clear where GE really sits.

In one of Chuck Carnevale's articles, he uses the earnings yield to quickly determine the valuation of a stock. The earnings yield is calculated by taking the current earnings divided by the stock's current price. Chuck feels that any value below 6% means that the stock is overvalued. In the case of GE, the TTM EPS is $0.81 and the current price is $18.12. The earnings yield is 4.5% which suggests that GE is overvalued.

The infographic below further shows that GE's PEG ratio is 1.9x which is considered poor value based on

This article was written by

Accelerating Dividends profile picture
2.46K Followers
My purpose is to purchase great companies at great value. My goal is to assemble a portfolio of dividend growth stocks that will continue to pay and increase their dividends annually in order to achieve my goal of financial independence. Financial independence for me is to have my dividends cover my living expenses come retirement (or sooner would be better!). I have called my portfolio the Accelerating Dividends Portfolio. My portfolio consists of the following stocks right now: Core: HAS, TXN, WYNSupportive: AMGN, AVGO, O, STAG, STORSpeculative: T, SKT, PEPYou can read my investment here.As for myself, I am a part-time, self-educated investor who works a full-time day job as an criminal intelligence analyst. I bring my thought process from my job with me to much of my daily life. I like to ask questions, particularly some that are hard and not really talked about. I like to find data and do analyses in order to support or refute my ideas and answer my questions. I came across the dividend growth investing model when I was searching for a better way to invest my money. I love and advocate the dividend growth investment model because it has touched and inspired me, made the most sense to me and helps me to sleep well at night. I have been enthralled over the last few years with finances (if I could change careers, I would move to financial advising in order to pursue this interest full-time). This interest has stirred within me a great desire to learn and although there is always more to learn, I continue to enjoy the challenge of acquiring more knowledge and experience. I enjoy applying what I have learned particularly in my writing here on Seeking Alpha. I also apply many of my analytic skills and thinking to my articles in order to stimulate discussion to get many points of view. This helps me enhance my own opinion, perspective, and thought process. I hope that what I share will be of worth to the Seeking Alpha community. I hope you will follow me along this journey towards financial independence and accelerating dividends!

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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