Reading The Tea Leaves To Find Our Best Idea For 2018

Summary

  • Reading International (RDI) trades for a large discount to its standalone intrinsic value.
  • Multiple catalysts in 2018 could unlock significant value for shareholders.
  • We believe RDI trades for a ~20% discount to a conservative estimate of its intrinsic value, and upwards of ~50% discount to its potential value to a strategic acquirer.

Summary

Our top pick for 2018 is Reading International (NASDAQ:RDI). At a high level, we believe investors in Reading at today’s prices are paying a significant discount to Reading’s intrinsic value as a standalone company, and that a unique combination of value enhancing investments, industry consolidation, a hostile takeover offer, and litigation among the controlling shareholders will unlock significant value in 2018. In a standalone scenario, we think Reading’s shares are worth at least $20/share in 2018, and in a scenario where each of the company’s parts are auctioned off to the highest strategic bidder, we believe the company would be worth at least $25/share and potentially over $30/share.

Overview

Reading is a holding company formed in 1999; however, its predecessor companies can trace their roots all the way back to the Reading Railroad (made famous by the Monopoly board game) in the pre-Civil War era. In its current form, the company was started when James Cotter Sr. took control of the Reading Railroad in the early 1980s. In 2001, he merged Reading with two of his other holding companies (Craig and Citadel). The merger transformed Reading into what it is today- an international business with major cinema (movie theaters) and real estate holdings in the U.S., New Zealand, and Australia.

Reading’s strategy has been to use its two core segments (cinemas and real estate) to complement each other in a variety of ways.

  • Cinemas can be used as anchors for large retail developments, so Reading can use their cinemas to jump start real estate projects.
  • Real estate development is often expensive, and the steady cash flows from the cinemas can be used to fund real estate developments.
  • Having a background in real estate gives Reading flexibility to convert cinemas into other projects when a movie theater is no longer

This article was written by

38.46K Followers

Chris DeMuth Jr., is the founder of Rangeley Capital.

Chris runs the investing group Sifting the World, in which he shares his best ideas, deep research, extensive resources and real time updates as investments play out. The group contains an experienced community that shares specialized knowledge when members have local knowledge of opportunities under discussion. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long RDI. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This report is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The author reserves the right to make investment decisions on behalf of himself and his affiliates regarding any security without notification except where notification is required by law. Disclosed ideas are related to a specific price, value, and time. If any of these attributes change, then the author’s position might change. All information in this publication has been obtained from sources the author believes to be accurate and reliable, but information is presented “as is”, without warranty of any kind – whether express or implied. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About RDI Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on RDI

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
RDI
--