Expect Another Slow Quarter For Manchester United

Jun. 19, 2018 12:47 PM ETManchester United plc (MANU) Stock
Aitezaz Khan profile picture
Aitezaz Khan
1.99K Followers

Summary

  • Sales have declined in 3Q 2018 compared with 2Q 2018.
  • I foresee more decline in sales and earnings during 4Q 2018.
  • However, MANU looks strong over the long term despite an expected slow fourth quarter.
  • This is complemented by an expected growth in sales and earnings as the new league season unfolds during 1Q 2019.

Manchester United (NYSE:MANU) is a UK-based company representing a world class soccer club with the same name (also nicknamed as 'The Red Devils').

Source: Mirror

In my previous article on Manchester United, I identified the different sources of its revenue and discussed the factors that could lead to growth. In this article, I have discussed the reasons for decline in MANU's revenue in 3Q 2018 compared with 2Q 2018. As the 4Q is underway, I have highlighted the factors that in my opinion are likely to result in a decline of revenues and earnings going forward. However, because I believe that the dynamics of a sporting club require it to be viewed in a broader perspective than the typical financial performance metrics, I have also discussed other factors that will help support the club's future.

3Q 2018 Performance Review:

MANU's revenue for 3Q 2018 stood at £137.5 million which increased 8% YoY. However, it was down 16% from 2Q 2018 revenue, which stood at £163.9 million. MANU's revenue is generated from three major streams comprising of MD (read: Match Day), CMC (read: Commercial) and BDC (read: Broadcasting). In my previous article on MANU, I included a brief discussion of how revenues from these streams have evolved over the years. The chart below illustrates the relative portion of revenue from each segment:

Additionally, I have tabulated a comparison of QoQ revenues to analyze the performance of these segments during 3Q 2018.

Revenue Stream 2Q 2018 (£ million) 3Q 2018 (£ million) QoQ Variance (%)
CMC 65.4 66.7 up 2%
MD 36.9 31.1 down 16%
BDC 61.6 39.7 down 36%

It is evident that the major losers are MD and BDC revenues that have underpinned the slight growth in CMC revenues.

Comment on MD revenue decline: This

This article was written by

Aitezaz Khan profile picture
1.99K Followers
Associated with the securities and exchange business for nearly a decade and educated in finance, auditing, law, HR, and marketing, my main focus is on growth investing (though I do sometimes identify value picks in the metals and mining sector). The focus of my coverage is on the precious metals/ base metals/ energy/ commodities/ and automobile industry.In my experience, the SA audience is an inevitable part of the value chain on this forum. Thus, I encourage my readers to share constructive feedback, as it almost always helps support a never-ending learning process.Ranked within the top 10% of financial bloggers rated on TipRanks.

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