TherapeuticsMD: What's Up With The Recent Insider Sales?

Oct. 01, 2018 9:30 AM ETTherapeuticsMD, Inc. (TXMD) Stock90 Comments
Zheng Feng Chee profile picture
Zheng Feng Chee
845 Followers

Summary

  • Insiders have been exercising options and selling shares one after another.
  • Sales seem to be following a fixed sales schedule and investors should not view it as anything more.
  • Investors should focus on execution which seems to be on track.
  • Execution risk remains the major key risk and is what shorts are betting on.

Management in TherapeuticsMD (NASDAQ:TXMD) has been exercising options and selling shares one after another. Given an upcoming pivotal catalyst, the timing seems oddly suspicious. However, I believe these sales are pre-planned and nothing more than noise. Investors should focus on execution. And early numbers are positive.

Background of the insider sales

Table 1: Breakdown of options due to expire 1/1/2019

Source: *SEC filings for Finizio, Milligan and Bernick in 2011; **SEC filings for Milligan and Bernick in 2014 (options are exercised and not sold)

Founders of the company were provided with ~5 million options when the company was established via a reverse merger with AMHN Inc in 2011. These options are exercisable any time from 1/1/2012 to 1/1/2019. As seen in Table 1, the founders still have a significant chunk of their options left unexercised for over seven years.

With these options expiring in the next few months and an exercise price of $0.1018, any rational person will exercise these options before expiry. And that is exactly what happened with insiders selling a total of 1,050,800 shares at an average price of $6.4 as of September 28, 2018. An often overlooked detail is these sales have been executed via a 10b5-1 trading plan.

10b5-1 trading plan

A 10b5-1 trading plan is a strategy that allows insiders to arrange for shares to be sold at a predefined time, quantity and/or price. It is mainly used as a tool to ward off insider trading accusations. Given there is a number of upcoming catalysts, setting such a plan is the best option to avoid insider trading accusations.

Table 2: 10b5-1 projected insider selling timeline

Source: SEC form 4 sales filings and internal projection for sales after 26 September 2018 (expect to see official SEC filing by next working day)

Investors can get a

This article was written by

Zheng Feng Chee profile picture
845 Followers
Contrarian investor favouring companies with an unbalanced risk-reward ratio like (i) distressed companies with strong cash flow and attractive valuation, (ii) companies in beaten-down sectors with a strong balance sheet and solid business model and (iii) attractive merger-arbitrage situations.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long TXMD. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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