Valuation Matters In Closed-End Funds

Summary

  • CEFs offer a unique way to capture value as discounts and premiums often skew for no apparent reason other than limited supply and demand.
  • We highlight a recent example of extreme overvaluation in a municipal bond fund.
  • A list of currently overvalued funds is presented for further study.
  • Looking for a community to discuss ideas with? CEF/ETF Income Laboratory features a chat room of like-minded investors sharing investing ideas and strategies. Start your free trial today »

Closed-end funds [CEF] offer a unique way to capture value as discounts and premiums often skew for no apparent reason other than limited supply and demand, a situation that is exacerbated by low institutional ownership and low liquidity for many CEFs. One of the key services that we provide to members of CEF/ETF Income Laboratory is to warn when specific closed-end funds [CEFs] become egregiously overvalued. Selling an overvalued fund can lock in capital gains equivalent to several years of distributions, or viewed alternatively, can avoid the loss of several years of distributions when the valuation inevitably corrects. This idea is the core of our "CEF Rotation = Compounding Income On Steroids" strategy.

For example, a couple of weeks ago, I highlighted the BlackRock Virginia Municipal Bond Trust (NYSE:BHV) as gaining a whopping 21% in premium over a week in our Weekly Closed-End Fund Roundup (released 2 weeks later to the public here).

Here's what I wrote at the time:

The current premium of 35.93% is the highest since 2008, and is accompanied by a 1-year z-score of +5.9 suggesting extreme overvaluation.

Here's the premium/discount history for the fund since inception. We can see that BHV, for some reason or another, has attracted a very high premium for large swathes of its lifetime.

Does this tiny $24 million Virginia muni fund have some kind of magic allure? To be honest, I'm not seeing it. The fund does perform 24 bps and 89 bps per year better than the peer group over 5- and 10-year time spans at the NAV level, but I'm not sure this justifies the massive premium rise of the fund over the past year.

BHV currently yields 3.83% at market (5.20% at NAV), with 89% coverage. Sell this fund if you can!

BHV only has a

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This article was written by

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Stanford Chemist is a scientific researcher by training. For the past decade he has been providing analysis and evidence-based ways of generating profitable investments with CEFs and ETFs. He leads the investing group CEF/ETF Income Laboratory.

Features of the service include: managed income portfolios (targeting safe and reliable ~8% yields) making use of high-yield opportunities in the CEF and ETF fund space. These are geared toward both active and passive investors of all experience levels. The vast majority of {CEF/ETF Income Laboratory} holdings are also monthly-payers, for faster compounding and steady income streams. Other features include 24/7 chat, and trade alerts.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long THE PORTFOLIO SECURITIES. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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