Invesco EM Sovereign Debt ETF: Global Macro Monthly Income

BOOX Research
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Summary

  • PCY is an exchange traded fund that tracks a portfolio of emerging market, U.S. dollar denominated government bonds.
  • Underlying index is balanced so that each country (39 currently) has an equal weight, or half that amount if only represented by a single bond issue.
  • ETF performance will be linked to dynamics of interest rates and credit spreads, outperforming when global growth strengthens implying a lower risk of government defaults.
  • Current yield is 4.8% with a monthly distribution.

Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt Portfolio ETF (NYSE:PCY) is based on Deutsche Bank's 'DBIQ Emerging Market USD Liquid Balanced Index' which tracks the performance of the most liquid EM USD Sovereign bonds. Invesco for its part uses the sampling method to achieve a similar exposure as the underlying index. You can read the fund prospectus here. Government bonds have unique risks not typically found in corporate credits and for this reason, PCY acts as a good portfolio diversifier. The fund expense ratio is 0.5%. This article will explore the composition of the ETF as well as describe the risks associated with the asset class.

ETF Composition

PCY is currently represented by 107 bond issues from 39 countries, although these amounts are subject to regularly re-balancing. Recognizing the more volatile nature of emerging market fixed income securities, the underlying index is designed in such a manner that it is able to dynamically diversify risks according to Deutsche Bank.

On an annual basis the index re-weights to diversify the allocation across all countries. All countries with two or more bonds included in the index have an equal weight, countries with one bond are allocated half this weight.

  • Annually, countries and bonds are re-selected with market values reset.
  • Quarterly, bonds for each country are re-selected.
  • Monthly, re-balancing is done to reinvest coupons and cash positions or, when a significant event occurs such as a potential default, the bond is removed.

The outcome of this process is a well-diversified portfolio of sovereign bonds that leaves investors with a steady income stream from regular coupon payments. The ETF performance and return will be primarily based on movements in U.S. Dollar interest rates and the yield curve dynamics. The risk factor here is global credit spreads across the different quality of issuers. The underlying bonds will have specific sovereign

This article was written by

20.33K Followers
BOOX Research run by Dan Victor, CFA specializes in covering small-caps and under-the-radar ideas. Dan brings more than 15 years of experience in financial services across multiple roles in research, investment management, and trading. Dan is also the winner of Seeking Alpha's 2023 stock market prediction contest-- beating out a field of 40 analysts by correctly forecasting the S&P 500's 24% gain that year. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660791-2023-market-prediction-contest-winners

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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