The Fourth Estate: The Future Of The Media Industry

Feb. 04, 2019 12:57 PM ETGCI, NXST, NYT2 Comments
Kyla Scanlon profile picture
Kyla Scanlon
1.59K Followers

Summary

  • “If the product is free, you are the product”: Advertising dollars speak volumes, and data collection on consumers is driving the bottom line.
  • The newspaper industry has experienced a contraction in advertising revenues, and have to find other sources of cash.
  • Subscription services will become more prevalent over time.
  • It is vital to community success and engagement that local newspapers remain afloat.
  • Digital media companies have strong growth prospects.

The Media Industry: Where It's Been & Where It's Going

The newspaper industry has been undergoing an evolution, and the economic challenges that the industry faces have been well-documented over time. Employment in newsrooms has declined by 45% since 2004. BuzzFeed, Huffington Post, and Gannett all let go a percentage of their workforce in late January 2019. Vice Media announced that they are cutting 10% of their workforce on February 1st, and more companies are expected to follow suit. Gannett owns USA Today, among other circulations, and many local newspapers. The local newspapers in particular have been slammed over the past several years, and the most recent round of layoffs were just another slap in the face.

The disruptive nature of the Internet and the changing demographics of a subscriber base are some of the variables that the industry has dealt with, but there are also underlying revenue deficiencies within the newspaper system. The advent of big tech and the power of Facebook and Google has put pressure on publishers. Despite Google and Facebook's $300 million pledge to support journalism, that pressure doesn't look like it's going away any time soon.

Read it in Print: The Golden Age of Newspapers

Newspapers were booming during the early half of the 20th century. People would get two newspapers everyday, one with the morning news, and one with the evening news. The subscriber base began to flatline in the early 70s, but a true contraction in growth didn't show up until the 1990s, where it has steeply declined since then.

total circulation of newspapers over time Source: Journalism.org

The newspaper companies were thriving during the 1990's, despite the contraction in the number of subscribers. Gannett (GCI) and Knight Ridder, the industry leaders, were trading with 20 - 30% profit margins, which by comparison to other

This article was written by

Kyla Scanlon profile picture
1.59K Followers
Finance professional. Focus on the fundamentals; special interests in macroeconomic analysis and equity valuation.

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SymbolLast Price% Chg
GCI--
Gannett Co., Inc.
NXST--
Nexstar Media Group, Inc.
NYT--
The New York Times Company

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