Tencent Is A Tech Fund, Not Just A Tech Stock

Brecht Hanssens
874 Followers

Summary

  • Tencent is up 16% YTD, thanks to regulators in China easing up on gaming restrictions. Still, this is an underperformance compared to the NASDAQ, which gained 23%.
  • Revenue growth has slowed down to the lowest level since its IPO (a mere 14%), but there's strong growth in the parts where it's needed (46% y-o-y).
  • Investors may be underestimating the potential of the new markets the company is getting into, such as cloud computing and business services. Tencent is shifting away from being strictly consumer-facing.
  • Additionally, I believe the market is underestimating both the strength of Tencent's balance sheet from a debt point of view, but also from a 'tech-fund' point of view.

Tencent: short introduction

Tencent is one of the largest tech companies in the world. It is primarily known for its all-encompassing app called WeChat. Citizens in China use WeChat for basically everything: communicating with friends and family, ordering a cab, doing payments.

Tencent can't be compared to a social network, because it's more than that. It can't be compared to a fintech, because it's more than that. Not to a game publisher either, because...

The company does a lot of things at the same time. It's operating revenue comes primarily from gaming and the social networks it has. More and more, however, the company has been investing into other tech companies. If you're buying Tencent, you're not only buying a diversified tech business: you're buying a diversified tech fund.

Tencent is the portal into the Chinese internet, which is growing every day.

How has Tencent fared in 2019?

Tencent had a miserable 2018. Regulatory issues has pushed back a lot of new game development and game publishing. The company was unable to monetize some of its most played games. The Chinese government is cracking down on game addiction, and naturally Tencent has taken a hit.

Late January, there was finally some good news: the Chinese government started working through a backlog of unapproved games. Tencent makes 40% of its revenue from games, so this is absolutely essential for the company.

The company is up 16.77% YTD, even with the China-U.S. trade war in full effect.

On May 15th the company released its Q1 earnings.

Figure 1: taken from Tencent's Q1 earnings release

The company grew revenues by 16% year over year, while operating profit was up 20%. This wouldn't sound too bad, except that the company is considered a high growth tech stock, so it got badly hurt. Revenue growth is at the lowest pace since

This article was written by

874 Followers
Being the Financial Manager of SmileWise, an incubator and accelerator of healthcare businesses, I see major changes on the horizon. The company is specialized in digital marketing, strategic advice and financing. Before joining SmileWise in 2019, I worked as a financial advisor for Deutsche Bank and as marketeer for a European financial technology start-up. As a trained macro-economist with a major in International Economics (Ghent University), I take a holistic and global approach to the stock market. I also hold an MBA from the Vlerick Business School (#1 in the Benelux). Having been involved in private company valuations, M&A discussions and laying the financial foundations for new business to get funded, I am well-equipped to write about innovative healthcare companies, especially when technology is involved. Favoring big margins of safety, I usually build prudent financial models. Returns for a publicly posted list of stocks returned 22,24% in 2016 and 29,11% in 2017. For any questions on how to subscribe to “Huge Healthcare Research” and gain exclusive access to my portfolio holdings, live alerts and market commentaries, feel free to send him a message or email him at info@brechthanssens.com

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long TCEHY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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