Aptevo Therapeutics: IXINITY Revenue Still The Focus

George Kesarios
11.93K Followers

Summary

  • IXINITY revenue increased for the quarter, which is what I wanted to see.
  • With pediatric expansion and international sales, it is conceivable the company might become cash flow positive in 12-24 months.
  • My theme that IXINITY revenue might transform APVO shares into a never expiring option on the company's pipeline is intact.
  • Insiders continue to purchases shares on no news, but we have to assume positive developments will emerge.

As I said in the previous article on the company, my metric for Aptevo Therapeutics (NASDAQ:APVO) having a good Q2'19 quarter was even a slight increase in IXINITY revenue (the company's commercial Hemophilia B drug). The company reported IXINITY revenue of $7.4 million, which was up by $0.4M sequentially. As such, I consider the quarter good.

The company lost $13.3M for the quarter or $0.30 per share, beating slightly on revenue but missing adjusted EPS by $0.04. However it's important to note that the company had significant one time costs relating to the multi-batch manufacturing of IXINITY, as well as costs related to its upcoming pediatric expansion trial of IXINITY.

For example, approximately $0.9M was a one time cost associated with the testing of the company's new 3,000 IU IXINITY assay launched at the end of June 2019, and $0.5M in inventory write-offs.

In spite of the loss for the quarter the company reiterates a cash burn of $36-40M for 2019, because is will not have these significant expenses in the second half. As such its cash burn will fall significantly.

As for the company's pediatric expansion for IXINITY, it's important for investors to understand just how much it might contribute to the company's revenue in the future.

According to the company,

Approximately 33% of people treated for Hemophilia B in the U.S. are under the age of 13 years, representing a sizeable new addressable market, should IXINITY receive a pediatric label expansion.

IXINITY is currently marketed exclusively in the United States by Aptevo. The global Hemophilia B market in 2016 is estimated to be approximately $1.02 billion and projected to grow to $1.3 billion by 20262. Approximately 59% of the estimated Factor IX global market is concentrated outside the United States as measured by volume (international units).

In

This article was written by

11.93K Followers
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities. I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick. I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece. I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long APVO. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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