Cleveland-Cliffs: Capital Allocation

Sep. 13, 2019 7:34 AM ETCleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) StockCLF84 Comments
Pat Stout
838 Followers

Summary

  • Hot-rolled coiled steel has been in a free fall.
  • Iron ore had been surging before it cooled off.
  • Shares repurchased are under water.
  • A change in capital allocation could unlock value.

Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) has not been written on in a while. The last article was in January 2019, with the price at $7.63. The shares closed September 9, 2019, at $7.58.

“Had it not been for the share repurchase announcement, the shares might have been considered for a high-risk investment or trade.

Risk-tolerant investors seeking exposure to Cleveland-Cliffs might want to explore selling put options to either earn the option premium or to purchase shares at a discount to the current price.”

Change Year to Date

The CEO of Cleveland-Cliffs has been frustrated over the share price, feeling that that it is undervalued. This is understandable. In November 2018, the Board of Directors approved a $200 million share repurchase program, and then on April 24, 2019, an additional $100 million share repurchase program was approved. Let us review the prices paid for shares.

Nearly $300 million has been spent on acquiring shares. Cleveland-Cliffs reported in a 10-Q filing that there were 298,018,441 shares outstanding on October 17, 2018. Therefore, roughly $1.00 per share was spent on buying back shares. While the share price did move higher, it has since retraced the entire gain and then some.

It is unclear why so few shares were repurchased during January 2019 when the share price was lower and no shares were repurchased during April and June 2019. The share price closed on September 8, 2019, at $7.26. Therefore, the nearly $1.00 per share paid per outstanding shares as of October 17, 2018, resulted in a price decline of $2.78. The shares are lower than where they closed on January 3, 2019.

More recently, Cleveland-Cliffs announced a special dividend of $0.04 on top of the quarterly dividend of $0.06. It is unclear if the company's board has decided the best way to reward shareholders is with a cash dividend, or if

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This article was written by

838 Followers
Since 1978 have experienced and studied many market cycles in bonds, stocks, options, etc. Tend to question herd thinking, some might call me a contrarian. A big mistake made when young (1970’s) by avoiding bonds and investing in risky stocks. It was a great lesson in risk management. Seek long-term strategic trends while keeping an eye open for short-term tactical opportunities. Pay close attention to cash-flow statement, balance sheet and the allocation of capital. Warning flags go up when board of directors allocate owners money to departing owners via share repurchase programs. Very few share repurchase programs have been found that add value, but many that hurt fixed income investors.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

May enter stock or sell puts.

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