Fear And Greed In The Silver Market

Summary

  • Silver lagged, but took off and almost reached $20 at the end of the gold rally.
  • The silver/gold ratio fell from the recent high.
  • Silver falls below the $18 level.
  • The reason for a higher low in silver.
  • USLV to turbocharge results.
  • I do much more than just articles at Hecht Commodity Report: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more. Get started today »

Fear and greed and two of the strongest human emotions. Most traders and investors experience fear and greed, which often drives behavior. Fear is one of the primary reasons that market participants scurry to exit markets when time get tough. Greed often keeps them in risk positions long after the risk-reward profile shifts.

One of the best ways to avoid losing money as a result of fear and greed is to approach a market with a plan. Knowing how much capital you are willing to risk and what the profit target should be is a rational way to keep fear and greed in check.

The more volatile assets tend to move higher and lower when they evoke fear and greed. Silver is a market that tends to move on the market's overall sentiment. Therefore, fear and greed are always lurking in the precious metal. Silver volatility tends to be 50% higher than gold price variance. Since the final week of May, the price of silver moved from $14.245 to a high at $19.54 per ounce on the continuous COMEX contract, and $19.75 on the active month December futures. Those who bought silver early, likely felt like they were riding a cash machine in the precious metal. Those who bought late and were looking for silver to burst through $20 per ounce were guided by greed. Now that silver has pulled back to under $17.50, fear could be creeping back, and if the price of the metal moves lower over the coming sessions, the emotion will intensify.

Many market participants wind up buying when they should be selling and vice versa. I believe that the current correction in the silver market will lead to a buying opportunity at a higher low. Volatility is a curse for some, but for nimble traders with their fingers

The Hecht Commodity Report is one of the most comprehensive commodities reports available today from the #2 ranked author in both commodities and precious metals. My weekly report covers the market movements of 20 different commodities and provides bullish, bearish and neutral calls; directional trading recommendations, and actionable ideas for traders. I just reworked the report to make it very actionable!

This article was written by

30.02K Followers

Andrew Hecht is a 35-year Wall Street veteran covering commodities and precious metals.

He runs the investing group The Hecht Commodity Report, one of the most comprehensive commodities services available. It covers the market movements of 20 different commodities and provides bullish, bearish and neutral calls; directional trading recommendations, and actionable ideas for traders. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The author always has positions in commodities markets in futures, options, ETF/ETN products, and commodity equities. These long and short positions tend to change on an intraday basis. The author is long silver

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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