Federal Reserve Bank Is Buying T-Bills And You Should Too

Josh Ortner
1.18K Followers

Summary

  • Investors should heed warning from the latest Fed move and consider purchasing the iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF.
  • SHV offers investors a safe return on short-term cash with a 30-day yield of 1.5% and a negative beta. The SHV is a very conservative way invest short-term capital.
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York added $60.7 billion in treasury bill purchases last week within the repo market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hits an all new high at 29,000, and the Federal Reserve Bank hits the buy button on more short-term treasury bills within the repo market. The Federal Reserve has been conducting these repo offerings and treasury bill purchases in a bid to keep control of short-term interest rates and bolster bank reserves. Just last week, the Federal Reserve decided that they would continue on with the repo purchases at roughly $60 billion a month until February. The latest move extends a repo program that has been in place since it stepped into the repo market this fall, but indicates the central bank is wanting to exit the program this winter. Until recently, banks had more than enough capital reserves to fulfill their needs for cash and regulatory requirements. We all know on Wall Street it is much easier to start a program like this than it is to exit.

What Is Repo, Anyway?

Before we start talking about what to buy, we need to understand what the repo market is. According to Investopedia, a repurchase agreement is a short-term agreement to sell securities in order to buy them back at a slightly higher price. The Federal Reserve Bank enters into the repo market to regulate the money supply and bank reserves.

Image result for New York Federal Reserve

(Source: WSJ)

Institutions, hedge funds, and banks use this market to finance the purchase of other debt securities and other investments. After the 2008 Great Financial Crisis, investors were focused on a particular type of repo, known as repo 105. Speculation on Wall Street rose around these type of repos. Many financial crisis experts believed they could have played a part in Lehman Brothers’ attempt to hide the bank's declining financial health leading up to the financial crisis. Now, institutional and individual investors are wondering if the same thing is happening again.

This article was written by

1.18K Followers
Mr. Ortner is a published author in areas focusing on anti-money laundering and risk management. He focuses his writing on the importance in reviewing the fine prints of complex financial products and offerings. Mr. Ortner is currently a Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist. All articles are opinions of Mr. Ortner and should never be construed as personal financial advice.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long SHV. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The above statements are opinions of Mr. Josh Ortner, CTFA, and should not be construed as personal financial advice.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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