Ionis, Akcea Confirmation With Hypertriglyceridemia Results

William Meyers
7.5K Followers

Summary

  • Akcea and Ionis reported strong Phase 2 results for their Hypertriglyceridemia therapy.
  • This stacks on commercial revenue and a deep pipeline.
  • It is more evidence Ionis is undervalued for long-term investors.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:IONS) and its majority-owned spinoff Akcea Therapeutics (AKCA) work together on RNA-based therapies for a wide spectrum of diseases. On January 22, 2020, they announced that the potential therapy AKCEA-APOCIII-LRx for hypertriglyceridemia (high triglycerides in the blood) displayed positive Phase 2 results. While a confirmatory Phase 3 trial will be necessary to obtain commercial approval, if all goes well this could start boosting revenue in 2022 or 2023.

Akcea was spun off from Ionis, which now owns about 75% of it. Because Ionis shareholders in effect own Akcea, but not vice-versa, this article will analyze the new results from the point of view of Ionis. Currently, Ionis has the most lucrative commercial franchise, royalties from Biogen (BIIB) for Spinraza. Akcea uses Ionis's antisense RNA technology to focus on rare diseases and lipid disorders, of which hypertriglyceridemia is an example.

Ionis is well off its 52-week high of $86.58, for no particularly good reason, so I see this as a good opportunity to buy it at a reasonable price. The 52-week low was $53.34. There are many components to the Ionis outlook. Since I want to focus on the hypertriglyceridemia opportunity, I refer you to my prior article, "Ionis: A Long-Term Buy On Earnings, Pipeline," for other aspects of the company's story.

AKCEA-APOCIII-LRx Phase 2 results

Phase 2 AKCEA-APOCIII-LRx top line results were released on January 22. The study showed statistically significant dose-dependent reductions in fasting triglycerides compared to placebo at all APOCIII dose levels. The highest once-monthly dose of 50 mg resulted in more than 90% of patients achieving serum triglycerides of less than 150 mg/dL, compared to less than 5% of patients in the placebo group. There were also significant reductions in other risk factors, notably apo-CIII. Safety was essentially the same in the dosed and placebo groups. The 150 mg/dL triglyceride level is the recognized

This article was written by

7.5K Followers
I provided stock and bond research and analysis to a small cap specialist investor, Lloyd Miller, from 2002 until his death in January 2018. For my own account I invest mainly in technology and biotechnology stocks. My technology and investment web site is openicon.com, where readers can view the notes I take to make decisions and to write articles for Seeking Alpha.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long IONS, BIIB. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

As an owner of IONS, I effectively have a stake in AKCA.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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