Vestas Wind Systems To Be Big Player In Exploding Offshore Wind Market

Keith Williams
8.79K Followers

Summary

  • Vestas total order backlog is $36 billion as of September 2019 (up $10 billion YOY); firm turbine orders is 4.7 GW in Q3 2019 (up 45% 2018); overall turbine backlog for Q3 is 21.4GW (up 57% Q3 2018).
  • Even Vestas' 21.4 GW order backlog (includes onshore) is tiny in comparison with planned offshore wind (e.g. China pipeline 133GW now; North Sea Wind Power Hub up to 180GW by 2045).
  • Europe, Asia and the US all planning massive expansion of offshore wind in the near term, even though Vestas' underlying offshore profit up just $54 million year on year.
  • Vestas offers a substantial play in the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy.

Vestas 10MW turbine

Vestas V164-10.0 MWTM Turbine : Courtesy of MHI Vestas Offshore Wind

Danish company Vestas Wind Systems (OTCPK:VWDRY) (OTCPK:VWSYF) is the world’s largest wind turbine supplier, having installed more than 108 GW of wind power. And it is very busy, with a full order book and expansion in all directions. Many things about the company indicate good health. Although the current worldwide trade issues impacted its Q2 profits somewhat, Q3 earnings showed that this temporary reversal was a buy opportunity as the share price surged 10.8% on good news from Q3. There are challenges of execution in a tighter market, but wind power, especially offshore, is just getting started. For those investors overweight on fossil fuel stocks, Vestas is worthy of a look in seeking to diversify.

I’ve written about the rise of wind power as a major contributor to the switch from fossil fuels to renewable energy production. Recently, there have been dramatic developments and cost reductions for offshore wind, which has huge potential. The International Energy Agency claimed recently that offshore wind has the potential over the next two decades to become a $1 trillion industry. Here I address these developments and indicate why I think that investment in Vestas is interesting.

For a more cautious view, readers might check out a recent article by Samu Wilhelmsson, who is cautious because he views the political environment as unfavourable for renewable energy. While there is some truth to this view, with President Trump being a noted climate denier and antagonist especially to the wind industry, other issues that I’ve explored in articles concerning decarbonization and emissions reductions would suggest much deeper currents in favour of renewable energy. Indeed, after tracking flat in 2019 until September, the Vestas share price has shown solid progress. Readers are referred to a recent

This article was written by

8.79K Followers
Keith began his career as a research scientist (developmental biology, biochemistry, molecular biology) at the Australian National University, University of Oxford (UK), the Max Planck Institute for Biochemistry (Munich, Germany) and finally Macquarie University (Sydney) where he held a Chair in Biology and established the Centre for Analytical Biotechnology. Pioneering the area of proteomics (with Marc Wilkins in his group coining the term), Keith established the world’s first government-funded Major National Proteomics Facility (Australian Proteome Analysis Facility) which was involved with industrialising protein science. Keith left academe with his team to found Proteome Systems Ltd in 1999 to commercialise proteomics. The company had a strong focus on intellectual property, engineering/technology and bioinformatics. As CEO he led the company to ASX listing in 2004. Since 2005 Keith has been involved in new business development in biotech, e-health and other emerging technologies. Keith sees climate change and sustainable development as a major issue for humankind and also a major business disruptor/risk and opportunity. Keith holds a Bachelor Agr Science from the University of Melbourne and a PhD from the Australian National University. He is a Fellow of the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences & Engineering and received an AM (Member of the Order of Australia) for services to the Biotechnology Industry. He has received various industry awards including an Innovation Hero Medal from the Warren Centre for Advanced Engineering. With 300 scientific papers and many patents written, Keith has a clear view of innovation in the Biotechnology and Climate/Renewable Energy space. He is not a financial advisor but his perspective adds relevance to decision-making concerning feasibility and investment in technology innovation.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long VWDRY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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