Low Natural Gas Price Is Disrupting Baker Hughes' Plans

Jan. 30, 2020 12:39 PM ETBaker Hughes Company (BKR) StockBKR1 Comment
Badsha Chowdhury
1.27K Followers

Summary

  • The dip in natural gas prices will hurt Baker Hughes' profitability in LNG projects in the short term.
  • Cost reduction and productivity enhancement efforts can mitigate the pressure on margin.
  • Its leverage is lower than peers, which indicates the balance sheet strength.
  • The stock is relatively undervalued at the current level.

Baker Hughes Keeps It Steady, But Difficulties Remain

Baker Hughes (NASDAQ:BKR) provides technology solutions and equipment & services to energy and industrial customers worldwide. The company has been servicing several large LNG (liquefied natural gas) projects internationally, which is a part of its strategic plan in the medium term. However, the steep decline in natural gas and LNG prices over the past year has put a question mark on the profitability of that move. The company is about to separate from GE and operate independently. On top of that, with the crude oil price remaining volatile, a quick turnaround in the upstream business is unlikely. In the short term, the stock is likely to stay subdued.

Despite all these obstacles, the international business, particularly the offshore part, is looking to provide improved returns in 2020. I think various cost reduction and productivity enhancement actions can pull margin up in the oilfield services part. The company's alliance with technology leaders like Microsoft (MSFT) can help maintain an edge over its competitors. I think BKR's stock price will see improved returns in the medium-to-long-term.

Natural Gas: Demand, Supply, And Price

The natural gas price has decreased by 40% in the past year until now. Despite low prices, the U.S. natural gas marketed production increased by 10% in 2019 compared to a year ago. However, if the price stays low for long, it will eventually catch up with production, in which case, it will start affecting the energy servicing companies' top and bottom line. While production and consumption of natural gas are expected to remain in balance in 2020, the EIA expects output to decline in 2021 in response to the low price base. The EIA expects natural gas spot prices to average $2.33/MMBtu in 2020, and increase to $2.54/MMBtu in 2021.

From

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This article was written by

1.27K Followers
I have more than 14 years of experience in analyzing and writing on stocks. I write on both long and short sides in an unbiased manner. I have been covering the energy sectors for the past 7 years, with the primary focus on the oilfield equipment services sector. I also cover the Industrial Supply industry. I occasionally co-author with Seeking Alpha contributor Thomas Prescott.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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