Western Digital Earnings Comments Good For Micron

Market Watcher
17.29K Followers

Summary

  • Western Digital comments on their earnings bode well for Micron.
  • Both benefit from similar trends.
  • Micron has more upside than Western Digital.

Western Digital (NYSE:WDC) put up strong results. WDC is more exposed to NAND while Micron (NASDAQ:MU) is one-third exposed to NAND. WDC cited strong industry dynamics helping their numbers improve. Similar trends should benefit Micron.

Recent History

We went to a Buy Rating from Neutral on WDC on Dec. 12 (

paywall

).

WDC ChartSource

Above you can see where we got more bullish. Here's what we said at the time:

"With NAND pricing moving up I think this stock has bottomed. I think 5G and Apple moving along with pricing moving up and the stock near its lows is a great risk reward.

Really pricing is so important for memory exposed stocks. NAND pricing is now up after being down for a while. Let's keep it simple, that's good.

You saw me enter to WDC in our model portfolio. I want to go to a Buy Rating. It's not as strong as a Strong Buy because I don't have everything line up but I think this is something that can go."

This story has been playing out. 5G and Apple are coming on along with other drivers I'll talk about below. You saw me above get excited about pricing which you'll see below was a core driver to their earnings taking the stock higher.

I do think short term it's a little more fully valued but I think that medium term there's still upside. I'll explain.

Strong Memory Pricing

Western Digital had strong comments on pricing. Since memory companies are cyclical, pricing matters very much. In fact pricing is the single most important datapoint for me when doing work on WDC and Micron.

Here's what Western Digital said on pricing:

"As we enter the March quarter, flash pricing continues to improve."

"Relative to mix, I would say both product and

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Earnings season is here. This is our prime time. We recently spoke to a ton of companies. QCOM, SQ, TER, MSI, TTWO, ATVI, ROKU, AAPL, TTD, TWTR, SWKS, TSLA, FTNT, ANET, INTC, TWLO, WDC, JNPR, SPLK, MSFT, LRCX, FB.

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This article was written by

17.29K Followers
I've worked for big hedge funds as a trader, analyst, and PM.I focus on the Fed, big cap stocks, markets, and Bitcoin.Differentiated, simplified view of things.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. All model portfolio trades are hypothetical to show direction, conviction and timing. Performance excludes all relevant transaction costs. Elazar and its employees do not take individual stock positions to avoid front running and other potential customer related issues.

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