Precision Drilling Corporation May Realize Some Upsides Ahead

Badsha Chowdhury
1.27K Followers

Summary

  • The Canadian rig count is recovering, while the heavy-oil related activity is expected to make a comeback in 2020.
  • While the overall energy activity is still down, PDS can mitigate the pressure on revenue from commercialization of apps.
  • The pressure on pricing is likely to ease in the short-to-medium-term.
  • The company has revised down FY2020 capex plans and aims to slash debt significantly by 2022.

PDS To Consolidate Operations

The downturn in the completion markets forced Precision Drilling Corporation (NYSE:PDS) to downsize its rig fleet significantly in the past year. Although pricing can remain stable, the drilling activity won't improve in the first half of 2020. I do not think the company's returns will improve in the short-term.

Just before the start of 2020, the natural gas liquids plays of Montney and Duvernay in Canada started to see some activity coming back. The company will look to generate additional revenue through the commercialization of the technology-based apps. It has started to drive down debt aggressively and is pursuing a lofty deleveraging target. If pricing in the pressure pumping business recovers in 2H 2020, its financial performances, as well as returns from the stock, are likely to improve in the medium-term.

Technology Initiatives

In my previous article, I discussed the commercialization of the Process Automation Control (or PAC) platform and the PD-Apps under development that can be commercialized. The company's AlphaAutomation system has multiple revenue-generating points in drilling functions, tripping functions, and survey functions. The system helps in reducing risk and drilling time and cost. These apps are priced in the range of between $250 and $1,000 per day. PDS has a total of 13 more apps under development that would be commercialized during 2020. So, technology can augment the company's top-line in 2020.

Analyzing The Strategies: U.S. And Canada

Although the onshore drilling rigs declined significantly (21% down), the company's average revenue per utilization day increased by 2% year-over-year in Q4 2019. On top of that, the operating cost per utilization day decreased (6% down), which helped increase per day operating margin by 19% year-over-year.

As we have been observing in the energy sector, the E&P operators have been reducing the active rig count due to

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This article was written by

1.27K Followers
I have more than 14 years of experience in analyzing and writing on stocks. I write on both long and short sides in an unbiased manner. I have been covering the energy sectors for the past 7 years, with the primary focus on the oilfield equipment services sector. I also cover the Industrial Supply industry. I occasionally co-author with Seeking Alpha contributor Thomas Prescott.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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