Ryanair: The Downside Is Now Fully Priced In

Aleksey Razdolgin
1.7K Followers

Summary

  • 99% of the Ryanair fleet is grounded, as the global pandemic hit the airline industry the hardest.
  • However, a strong balance sheet will help the company to weather this storm and outlive its competitors.
  • I believe that Ryanair's downside is fully priced in and now is the time to slowly accumulate a position in the company.

In February, I cautioned against the purchase of Ryanair (NASDAQ:RYAAY) stock, even though I've been bullish on the company since 2018. Like all other airlines, Ryanair is going through a rough time, as the absolute majority of its fleet is grounded and it's unlikely that it will be able to fully resume its operations by the end of the year. Nevertheless, I do believe that all the downside is already fully priced in. While there's a risk that the stock will be slightly volatile from time to time, now is the right time to slowly accumulate the position in the company.

For years, I've been praising Ryanair for its efficiency and the ability to make a substantial amount of profit despite offering the cheapest tickets in comparison to its European peers. Thanks to such an advantage, Ryanair managed to increase its cash and cash equivalents to €3.8 Billion (~$4.11 Billion) in the previous fiscal year. This will help it to weather the current storm quite well. Moreover, once the lockdown restrictions will start to ease, Ryanair will be one of the few airlines to successfully resume its operation on a full scale in a short amount of time.

Weathering the Storm

The global pandemic has hit the airline industry the hardest. At the beginning of March, Europe became exposed to COVID-19 on a large scale, as Italy became the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic in the region. Ryanair, as the biggest airline on the continent, suffered the most. First, it was forced to close all of its routes to and from Northern Italy. However, as the virus accelerated its spread, the management had no choice but to ground the absolute majority of its fleet and wait for better times.

On April 3, the company reported that 99% of its fleet is

This article was written by

1.7K Followers
Aleksey is CEO of the proprietary trading company Arbitrage Trades. Aleksey is in charge of creating new opportunities in this rapidly growing investments field. He is personally investing his own money into stocks, cryptocurrencies and other emerging trends of the financial industry.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long RYAAY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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