Texas Pacific Land Trust: Exposure To Oil Price Recovery With 40% Upside Potential

Anh Hoang
3.17K Followers

Summary

  • Texas Pacific Land Trust earns oil & gas royalties and other revenue streams from the entire oil & gas development value chain.
  • It has a large cash balance, no debt, and minimal operating lease liabilities.
  • TPL should be worth around $718 per share, a 40% potential upside.

In the past two months, the weak global oil demand, combined with excessive oil inventory, has significantly driven down the oil price. We believe that oil prices will recover sooner or later, although it is impossible to predict the timing. One of the safe bets, which will benefit from the oil price recovery, is Texas Pacific Land Trust (NYSE:TPL). Being a land bank with substantial cash on hand and little debt, TPL is considered a safe stock for investors to get exposure to a potential upcoming oil price recovery.

Benefit from the entire oil & gas development value chain

Texas Pacific Land Trust, formed in 1888, is one of the biggest landowners in Texas state, with more than 900,000 acres in the West Texas area. It does not produce oil itself but owns oil & gas royalties, water royalties, and surface rights through its land holdings in the Permian Basin. The Trust earns steady revenue streams from the entire oil & gas development value chain. Throughout the lifecycle of a well, the Trust receives oil & gas royalties and fixed-fee payments for land use from oil producers. Moreover, in different phases of oil & gas development, the Trust produces additional revenue streams such as caliche sales during the oil & gas infrastructure construction, water supply during the drilling and completion phase, and saltwater disposal on its land during the production phase.

Excluding land sales, most of the Trust’s revenue came from oil & gas royalties, accounting for approximately 40% of the total revenue. Land and resource management has always been the significant operating income generator, accounting for more than two-thirds of its operating profits. In 2019, TPL had two main major customers, WPX Energy Permian and Anadarko E&P Onshore. WPX Energy Permian brought $11.3 million in royalties and $100 million in land sales to the Trust. Anadarko E&P Onshore paid to the Trust $33.7 million

This article was written by

3.17K Followers
Chief Investment Strategist at Global Hidden Gems Portfolio (https://www.ghginvest.com). Uncover rare-to-find businesses trading at or below Net cash but still profitable around the world.Global Value Investor. 15 years experience in investing and investment management. Co-author of the MOATS (a book 'bout 70 great businesses that Berkshire Hathaway is holding). Passed CFA level 2. My investing focus is deep value, special situations, growth at cheap price, intelligent speculation in significant events.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in TPL over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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