TJX Cos. Is On Sale

Josh Arnold
24.79K Followers

Summary

  • TJX is a best-of-breed retailer.
  • The earnings multiple is pricing in more risk to recovering earnings than I think is reasonable at this point.
  • For that reason, TJX looks like good value today.

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The COVID-19 crisis has created countless opportunities in the financial markets. One such opportunity, in my view, is retail all-star TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX). TJX had a hand in essentially creating mass market acceptance of the treasure hunt retail experience, wherein consumers walk into a store not necessarily knowing what kind of merchandise is inside. This model is far from unique to TJX, but I’d argue TJX has executed it better than any other. This best-in-class position has afforded TJX some enormous earnings multiples over the years, but even after a massive rebound rally, I think TJX offers relative value today and is worth a look from the long side.

A swift rebound is in the offing

One thing TJX has done extremely well in the past decade or so is boost its revenue. This has been done to some extent via expanding the store base, but primarily, TJX has been a comparable sales story.

Below, we have revenue in millions of dollars, as well as year-over-year change for the past two years, as well as estimates for this year and next year.

Source: TIKR.com

TJX has managed to grow its top line at very impressive rates, examples of which can be seen in fiscal 2019 and 2020, respectively, in the above. Revenue growth neared 10% for both years despite ~$40 billion in annual revenue, which is astounding growth for a company of this size.

Obviously, this year is going to be ugly as the company’s stores were shut for several weeks earlier this year, but analysts expect a strong rebound into next year. Considering how TJX bounced back from the Great Recession and thrived in an environment where many others didn’t, I have no doubt TJX will bounce back from this setback as well.

Below, we can take a

This article was written by

24.79K Followers
Josh Arnold has been covering financial markets for a decade, utilizing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to identify potential winners early on in their growth cycles. Josh's focus is mainly on growth stocks. His goal is efficient and profitable use of capital, which overly rigid buy-and-hold strategies do not allow. Josh is the leader of the investing group Timely Trader where he focuses on limiting risk and maximizing potential reward. Features of Timely Trader include: real-time alerts, a model portfolio, technical charts, sentiment indicators, and sector analysis to find the best trading opportunities. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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