The Fastly And The Furious

Jun. 24, 2020 4:24 AM ETFastly, Inc. (FSLY) Stock, , , 69 Comments
Steve Auger
6.53K Followers

Summary

  • For the last two months, Fastly stock has outperformed Shopify and Zoom Video, two of the hottest Wall Street darlings around.
  • Fastly appears to have the right cloud-edge developer tools for companies experimenting with next-generation applications such as eCommerce, 5G and IoT.
  • Stock valuation, although frothy, is nothing compared to Shopify and Zoom Video. I don't see this as a reason to stand in front of a speeding freight train.

The Fast and The Furious quote: Life's Simple. You make choices and you don't look back

Han Lue | The Fast and The Furious: Tokyo Drift (2006)

I suggest that you make the choice to hitch a ride and don't look back. This is the best advice I can give you when it comes to Fastly, Inc. (NYSE:FSLY). This company is as hot as they come, hotter than work-from-home beneficiaries such as Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM), and Shopify Inc. (SHOP), two wall street darlings.

Fastly stock chart with Zoom Video and Shopify comparison

(Source: Yahoo Finance/MS Paint)

Fastly is right in the middle of a paradigm shift called digital transformation, a pedal-to-the-metal shift that is in full acceleration as a result of the work-from-home mandate. While the connection isn't obvious to most, Fastly stock is surely benefiting. I wrote my last article on Fastly less than one month ago and the stock is up 97% already.

Fastly performance since article publication

(Source: Seeking Alpha/MS Paint)

One thing I have learned is not to step in front of a speeding car, as I did with my article on Shopify. I'm still scraping myself off the windshield with that bearish call.

In this macro-environment, stock valuations are less important for an investment thesis for companies directly involved with digital transformation, at least for the immediate future. A year from now I might be telling a different story as investors will have a better picture of Total Addressable Markets (TAM) and positioning of individual companies and products.

But for now, it is safe to say that the valuation of Fastly stock could increase fairly significantly before it is on a level with other juiced stocks such as Shopify and Zoom Video. For example, it could increase in price by ~80% from where it is now before encroaching on Shopify's valuation.

Followers of my work will recognize my scatter plots. Those individuals not familiar with this valuation technique can read more about it

Digital Transformation is a once-in-a-lifetime investment opportunity fueled by the need for businesses to convert to the new digital era or risk being left behind. And the pandemic has dramatically accelerated this paradigm shift. You can take advantage of this opportunity by subscribing to the Digital Transformation marketplace service. 

Please note that the price of this service will increase July 1st.


This article was written by

6.53K Followers
I have been trading stocks, commodities, and options for more than 25 years. I have honed my skills in quantitative analysis and various stock investment tools for 15 years at Portfolio123 and offer services as a consultant in stock portfolios. I also own the financial data service Equity Analytx which provides aggregated fundamentals for a wide range of industries.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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