AWP And IGR: Hedge Against Inflation With Real Estate

Summary

  • Inflation may hit us hard in a couple of years due to massive quantitative easing and money printing by the Fed.
  • There's massive amount of liquidity in the system, and investors should prepare for the coming inflation.
  • Real estate is a great hedge against rising inflation.
  • We highlight two great real estate funds - one with international exposure and one mostly U.S. real estate.
  • Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of High Dividend Opportunities get exclusive access to our model portfolio. Get started today »

Co-produced with Trapping Value

Back in April, we reiterated our bullish stance on Aberdeen Global Premier Properties Fund (NYSE:AWP), a global real estate closed-end fund. Our recommendation was based on its deeper than usual discount to NAV, sector diversification, limited leverage, competitive fees, yield and its performance relative to its benchmark. We also wanted to cash in on the mass hysteria prevalent at that time and the horrible sentiment for anything real estate. We had concluded with:

In the long run, real estate values go up. They certainly will go higher in this environment of exceptionally low rates. Yes the virus will dampen activity, and sure, certain tenants may get temporary rent breaks. On the whole though, 95%-99% of their revenue stream will not even change in the medium term. That has been coupled with a selloff the likes of which we have never seen. So REITs are very cheap in relation to fundamentals. With AWP you can buy the best of all of them together. Investors should grab this opportunity with both hands and buy for yield and capital appreciation.

Source: AWP: One Of The Safest High Yields In Today's Market

Although it has been through volatile swings, the price is more or less unchanged since then. To be fair though, four months do not make “long run” unless you have the constitution of a Robinhood Trader. This fund has been part of our model portfolio since August 2017 and up until earlier this year, the total returns looked like this:

Currently AWP yields 9.9%. We stand by our thesis that this deep discount merely provides an opportunity to buy a well-managed global real estate fund at a double discount and lock in a higher yield on cost. For those already holding it, it provides an opportunity to average down

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This article was written by

122.39K Followers

Rida Morwa is a former investment and commercial Banker, with over 35 years of experience. He has been advising individual and institutional clients on high-yield investment strategies since 1991.

Rida Morwa leads the Investing Group High Dividend Opportunities where he teams up with some of Seeking Alpha's top income investing analysts. The service focuses on sustainable income through a variety of high yield investments with a targeted safe +9% yield.

Features include: model portfolio with buy/sell alerts, preferred and baby bond portfolios for more conservative investors, vibrant and active chat with access to the service’s leaders, dividend and portfolio trackers, and regular market updates. The service philosophy focuses on community, education, and the belief that nobody should invest alone.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long AWP. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Treading Softly, Beyond Saving, Trapping Value, PendragonY, Preferred Stock Trader, and Long Player all are supporting contributors for High Dividend Opportunities.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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