Magnite: Huge Upside Potential In Connected TV

Aug. 17, 2020 9:42 AM ETMagnite, Inc. (MGNI) StockMGNI13 Comments

Summary

  • Magnite is facing a challenging environment due to the recession, but management is seeing a strong rebound in revenue going forward.
  • CTV revenue is growing at 50% year over year currently, and the opportunities for long-term growth are exceptional in this market.
  • Magnite is a risky stock due to industry cyclicality, competitive risk, and uncertain profitability levels.
  • The upside potential is enormous if the bullish thesis plays out well.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Data Driven Investor get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Get started today »

Magnite (NASDAQ:MGNI) is a relatively small company with enormous opportunities for growth in programmatic advertising over the years ahead. The company is facing considerable challenges, and a position in Magnite is inherently risky. Nevertheless, the upside potential may be well worth it.

Solid Performance In A Challenging Period

Magnite is the largest independent sell-side omnichannel advertising platform in the world. The company is the result of a merger between Rubicon Project and Telaria; this merger is quite recent, as it was completed in April of 2020.

Rubicon brings a large presence as a scaled programmatic exchange to the table, while Telaria provides leading connected TV (CTV) capabilities, so the merger makes a lot of sense from a business perspective.

Scale and presence are key sources of competitive strength in the sector, and Magnite is very well positioned in that regard. The company has access to over 2,000 publishers in 50 countries, with over 150 billion daily impressions and more than 600 employees globally.

On the other hand, things are not easy for Magnite nowadays. Advertising is a very cyclical industry, so the recession is a major setback for the whole sector. Besides, implementing such a merger in times of work from home and rampant uncertainty can be a colossal challenge.

But Magnite still delivered better-than-expected numbers for the second quarter of 2020. Reported revenue increased 12% year over year to $42.3 million, the number surpassed analysts' expectations by $4.7 million.

Even more important, management highlighted some very positive trends in revenue during the quarter.

Since our last earnings call, we have observed a steadily improving revenue recovery. We noted in our last earnings call that we had observed revenue stabilizing in April and early May at a level of roughly down 30% year-over-year on a pro forma basis. Revenue in May and June continued

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Performance as of August 16, 2020

This article was written by

35.5K Followers

Andres Cardenal, CFA, is an economist with 20 years working in investment research and strategy development for hedge funds, family offices and asset managers in the U.S. and Latin America.

He leads the investing group The Data Driven Investor, where he offers evidence-based analysis on Growth Stocks, Options Ideas for short-term consistent income generation, Macro analysis, Quant Portfolios for momentum and dividend investors and ETF strategies. The service features an active chat room and an engaged community of serious investors. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long MGNI, AMZN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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